Nā Manaʻo no ka Mākeke Mākeke Rare Earth: Ma ka makahiki 2040, e ulu ka noi no REO i ʻelima mau manawa, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka lako.

Wahi a ka haole media magneticsmag - Adamas Intelligence, ua hoʻokuʻu ʻia ka hōʻike makahiki hou "2040 Rare Earth Magnet Market Outlook". Ke ʻimi nei kēia hōʻike i ka mākeke honua no ka neodymium iron boron permanent magnets a me kā lākou mau mea honua.

Ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana o ka noi i 2021, ua hoʻokō ʻia kekahi koi koi ʻia mai ka makahiki i hala. Wahi a Adamas Intelligence, ua hoʻonui ʻia ka hoʻohana ʻana o ka honua i ka neodymium iron boron magnets ma 2022 e 1.9% wale nō i kēlā me kēia makahiki ma muli o ke poʻo o ka hoʻokele waiwai honua a me nā pilikia e pili ana i nā maʻi maʻi kūloko.

Eia nō naʻe, wānana kā lākou mea loiloi e ulu ana ka noi honua no nā neodymium iron boron magnets i ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o ka makahiki he 7.5% mai 2023 a 2040, e alakaʻi ʻia e ka ulu ʻana o nā huahelu pālua i ka ʻoihana uila a me nā ʻoihana makani. no kīnā mea ʻeleʻele rarei loko o nā mea magnet e like me neodymium, dysprosium, a me terbium.

I loko o ka manawa like, wānana lākou e ulu ana ka hana honua o kēia mau mea i ka 5.2% o ka ulu ʻana o ka makahiki, no ka mea, ua lilo ka ʻaoʻao lako o ka mākeke i mea paʻakikī e hoʻomau i ka ulu wikiwiki ʻana o ka noi.

ʻO nā hopena o ka noiʻi penei:

ʻO ka mākeke no ka magnetic rare earth oxides e ulu ʻelima e 2040: ʻO ka nui o ka hoʻohana ʻana o ka magneticnā ʻokikene honua laha ʻoleua manaʻo ʻia e ulu ma kahi helu hoʻonui makahiki hui o 5.2% (ke koi ulu ʻana o 7.0%), a ke manaʻo ʻia nei nā kumukūʻai e ulu ma kahi helu ulu makahiki hui o 3.3% a 5.2%. Ua wānana ʻo Adams Intelligence e hiki i ka makahiki 2040, e hoʻonui ʻia ke kumukūʻai hoʻohana honua o nā magnetic rare earth oxides i ʻelima mau manawa, mai $10.8 biliona i kēia makahiki a i $56.7 biliona e 2040.

Ua manaʻo ʻia e 2040, ʻo ka hāʻawi makahiki o ka neodymium iron boron e emi iho ma mua o 246000 tons. Ma muli o ka paʻa nui o ka lako o ka honua, wānana lākou e hiki i ka 2030, ʻo ka hemahema o ka honua o neodymium iron boron alloys a me nā pauka e hiki i ka 60000 tons i kēlā me kēia makahiki, a ma 2040, e hōʻea i 246000 tons i kēlā me kēia makahiki, aneane like. i ka nui o ka hana honua o neodymium iron boron alloys a me nā pauka i ka makahiki i hala.

Pēlā nō, ma muli o ka nele o nā kumu hoʻolako kumu mua a me ke kula kiʻekiʻe ma hope o 2023, wānana lākou e piʻi ka nele o ka neodymium oxide (a i ʻole oxide equivalent) i ka 19000 tons i kēlā me kēia makahiki e 2030 a me 90000 tons i kēlā me kēia makahiki e 2040, ʻo ia hoʻi. e like me ka hana mua a me ke kula kiʻekiʻe o ka makahiki i hala.

Ma ka makahiki 2040, ka hapa makahiki odysprosium oxideaterbium oxidemanaʻo ʻia he 1800 tons a me 450 tons. Pēlā nō, ma muli o ka nele o nā kumu kumu mua a me ke kula kiʻekiʻe ma hope o 2023, wānana ʻo Adamas Intelligence e hiki i 2040, ka nele o ka honua.dysprosium oxideaterbium oxidee piʻi aʻe nā mea like oxide i 1800 tons a me 450 tons i kēlā me kēia makahiki - e like me ka nui o ka hana honua o kēlā me kēia oxide i ka makahiki i hala.